As told, I am an MSU fan. But.... I'll try not to be biased.
Michigan States' success does not ride on one single player, Raymar Morgan does not need to have a good game for them to win, and they don't have to shoot over 45% from behind the arc.
For them, it's boards, boards, boards, and some good guard play.
They play tremendous defense with Walton, Suton, Ibok (could be used to stop Thabeet), Roe, and Korie Lucious, and Kalin Lucas is not afraid to ...
go at THABEET.
To me this is the key to the game. For UConn, Kemba Walker has been pushing the tempo. If they can push the tempo, (MSU likes to run but isn't as good as UConn and UNC are at it) then they may have the game right there.
Keys to the matchup
MSU
-Halfcourt Style
-Go at Thabeet, he can't block everything
-Put a "Suton" Thabeet
-Pound the boards
UConn
-Block everything
-Push the tempo
-Get a big game from Price
my prediction -- Michigan State 70 UConn 63
To me, these teams are so evenly matched that the one X-Factor MSU has that UConn doesn't, is playing in Ford Field. If the game is close as I expect it to be, then this ramped up crowd, which may have the full Izzone, should push MSU through the game.
UNC - Nova
I don't expect this game to be a blowout. Until the end...
I think Villanova is good. I just think Villanova will lose. UNC now has a healthy Lawson. If. IF they hit their threes, then they will win. If they don't, then they might lose. See, against Gonzaga, Gonzaga tried to run with UNC. Don't do that. Villanova needs to run when they can, but PLAY GOOD DEFENSE. If Villanova hits three's and plays defense, they will win.
UNC 82 - Villanova 68

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